How To Pick A Winner Of The Grand National


How To Pick A Winner Of The Grand National
How To Pick A Winner Of The Grand National
Spread the love

Flat racing has the Kentucky Derby, the Melbourne Cup, and the Epsom Derby, but jump racing also has a contest that captures the attention of fans from across the globe, the Aintree Grand National.

The Grand National is one of the most famous jump races in the world, and with a prize pool of £1 Million on offer, it is also the most valuable. Forty horses and jockeys line up for the race each other in April of each year, and with 30 of the biggest fences being faced throughout the 4-mile trip, it is not for the fainthearted.

With so many runners and the possibility for thrills and spills, the race is one of the hardest to win and also proves difficult for bettors to find the winner.

Grand National Trends

The Pond Fence” (CC BY-SA 2.0) by Carine06

Handicap Rating

We all know that racing is never an exact science, but there are some vital clues to consider when having a bet on Grand National horses. Here are just a small collection of trends from the past winners’ list.

One of the most important trends when making Grand National predictions is the handicap rating of a horse. A handicap rating is a measure of how good a horse is and is used to calculate the weight that a horse will carry in a handicap race.

For example, last year’s winner, Noble Yeats, who is the 8/1 second favorite for 2023, was rated 147 and carried 10st 10lbs. This year he will carry 11st 11lbs, with his rating now being 166. The majority of winners in the past have carried a weight of 10st 13lbs.

See also  A Beginner’s Guide to the Grand National

Over the past 31 renewals, just one winner has had a rating of less than 137.

Days Since Last Run 

Being off the track for a long time has proven to have a detrimental effect on potential winners of the Grand National. Some horses perform better having had a long break in between runs, whilst others perform better with more racing.

With the Grand National being run over a stamina-testing 4-mile trip, fitness plays a huge part in the chances of any potential winner. When it comes to former winners, just two winners out of the last 31 have had a break of over 55 days before lining up in the Aintree showpiece.

Proven Stamina

As stated, the Grand National’s running distance of 4 miles requires horses to possess extraordinary stamina levels to see the race out to the end. If we take the last 31 renewals as a guide once again, 27 of the winners had previously won a race of 3 miles or greater in their career.

Age and experience can have a big part to play in a horse’s ability to stay going for 4 miles, with those runners aged 9 or over having a particularly good record. 

Outsiders Do Well

For the many fans that like to have a bet on the Grand National, it can pay to look beyond the favorites in the race. A race like the National has so many permutations throughout, that even the strongest of favorites could run into trouble at any stage.

With 25 of the last 31 winners of the race having returned at double-figure odds, looking for an outsider with the potential to cause a shock can be advisable.

See also  Let's meet Divya Jain The Founder of "Vssol" and see How she Provides the Counselling For Career oriented People

Plumpton Races 13 02 2017-6084.jpg” (CC BY 2.0) by jamesboyes

Which Horses Fit The Bill In 2023?

Current Ante-Post favorite, Corach Rambler ticks all the boxes when it comes to past trends, but his price of 11/2 puts him below the double-figure odds mark. Elsewhere, two horses at big prices also fit the bill, with both Hill Sixteen and Roi Mage fitting into all of the categories above and currently being available at a huge price of 50/1.


Spread the love

Scoopearth Team
Hi This is the the Admin Profile of Scoopearth. Scoopearth is a well known Digital Media Platform. We share Very Authentic and Meaningful information related to start-ups, technology, Digital Marketing, Business, Finance and Many more. Note : You Can Mail us at [email protected] for any further Queries.